Wobbly markets could push back German rail sale
Reuters: April 29
BERLIN - Germany's transport minister acknowledged on Tuesday that the long-delayed partial privatisation of rail operator Deutsche Bahn could be pushed back until next year because of turbulent markets.
Germany's ruling coalition overcame differences to seal an agreement on Monday that paves the way for the sale of a 24.9 percent stake in the state-owned railway by the end of the year.
Speaking on Deutschlandfunk radio, Transport Minister Wolfgang Tiefensee expressed hope the sale could take place in November or December, but said the precise timing would ultimately depend on market conditions.
"We have to find the right time to sell these shares," he said. "If the market doesn't allow (a sale this year), then we may need to wait one, two or three months."
Germany has not seen a single initial public offering (IPO) this year because of turmoil on financial markets linked in part to the U.S. subprime crisis. The leading German DAX index has fallen 15 percent since the end of 2007.
The sale of Deutsche Bahn, a transport and logistics giant with revenues of 31 billion euros, would be the highlight of the German IPO calendar if the government can pull it off.
Tiefensee said investment banks valued the stake at between 5 and 8 billion euros, which would make it the biggest German IPO since the government raised 5.8 billion euros with the sale of Deutsche Post shares in November 2000.
"The Bahn is a very special company and it can't be compared to others," Tiefensee said. "It is a safe investment that promises long-term success, both in terms of profits and the value of the stock itself. I am sure investors will come."
GOVERNMENT INFLUENCE
But some analysts are sceptical about the sale given market conditions and the continued influence of the government.
Although Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives have said the sale will be a first step in the process of privatising the firm, Tiefensee, a Social Democrat (SPD), said he expected Deutsche Bahn workers to receive written guarantees that no further stake sales would take place.
"The IPO market is very difficult at the moment and no one can say whether the situation will improve by the end of the year," said Jochen Rothenbacher of Equinet in Frankfurt.
"With Deutsche Telekom and Deutsche Post it was clear from the beginning that the government would pull out over time, but with Deutsche Bahn that is not the case and that is a negative in terms of the attractiveness of the shares."
The sale is due to be signed off in cabinet this week and then parliamentary groups will discuss it ahead of a decision in the lower house of parliament before the summer break.
The sale of Germany's last major state-owned enterprise has stirred controversy for years with opponents claiming service will deteriorate and the firm's workers will suffer. To assuage fears, management agreed last week that there will not be any lay-offs for the next 15 years as a result of the privatisation.
Under the terms of the coalition agreement, 24.9 percent of Bahn's passenger transport, logistics and services businesses will be sold to private investors. The rail tracks, stations and energy supply unit will remain the property of the state.
Two thirds of the revenue from the sale will be reinvested in company infrastructure projects or go towards strengthening the firm's capital base. The rest will flow to federal coffers.
See also:
German rail sale could bring 8 bln euros-minister
Reuters: April 29 2008
Writing by Noah Barkin; editing by Rory Channing
BERLIN - The sale of a 24.9 percent government stake in German rail operator Deutsche Bahn could bring in revenues of up to 8 billion euros ($12.53 billion), Transport Minister Wolfgang Tiefensee said on Tuesday.
Senior members of Germany's ruling coalition sealed an agreement late on Monday that paves the way for a partial privatisation of the rail operator by the end of the year, although Tiefensee said market conditions would determine the precise timing of the long-delayed sale.
"We have estimates from different investment banks ranging from 5 to 8 billion euros," Tiefensee told Deutschlandfunk radio. "Now we have to find the right time to sell these shares."
Tiefensee said the government hoped to push through the sale in November or December of this year.
"If the market doesn't allow this, then we may need to wait one, two or three months," he said.
Until now, most estimates of the value of the stake have been in the 5 to 6 billion euro range.
"The Bahn is a very special company and it can't be compared to others," Tiefensee said. "It is a safe investment that promises long-term success, both in terms of profits and the value of the stock itself. I am sure investors will come."
The sale is due to be signed off in cabinet this week and then parliamentary groups will discuss it ahead of a decision in the lower house of parliament before the summer break.
The issue of privatising Germany's last major state-owned enterprise has stirred controversy for years with opponents claiming service will deteriorate and Deutsche Bahn's workers will suffer.
Company management agreed last week with labour unions that there will not be any lay-offs for the next 15 years as a result of the privatisation.
Although Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives have said the sale will be a first step in the process of privatising the firm, Tiefensee, a Social Democrat (SPD), said he expected Deutsche Bahn workers to receive written guarantees that no further sales would take place.
Deutsche Bahn, one of the biggest transport companies in the world and Germany's largest employer, has annual revenues of around 30 billion euros and more than 220,000 staff.
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German finance minister expects 6-8 bln euros proceeds from rail privatisation
Thomson Financial: 04.29.08
BERLIN, Germany (Thomson Financial) - German finance minister Peer Steinbrueck said he expects proceeds from the planned partial Initial Public Offering (IPO) of rail operator Deutsche Bahn AG. to come in at between six and eight billion euros.
He said first talks were conducted with potential buyers, without providing further details.
A committee of Germany's ruling coalition parties agreed late on Monday on the part privatisation of state-owned Deutsche Bahn. Up to 24.9 percent of the business handling passenger and cargo traffic as well as logistics will be sold via an IPO, while railway tracks and train stations will remain completely state-owned.
While details still need to be hammered out, the agreement sees proceeds equally being used for a capital increase of Deutsche Bahn, investments in the rail network and the federal government budget.
German transport minister Wolfgang Tiefensee earlier said he expect the partial Initial Public Offering (IPO) of German rail operator Deutsche Bahn. to be conducted in November or December this year.
If market conditions do not permit this point of time, 'one would maybe wait another two to three months,' he said.
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German Government Agrees Private Purchases of Deutsche Bahn
Deutsche Welle: 01.05.2008

The Deutsche Bahn headquarters in Berlin: The German cabinet will allow private investors to buy into Deutsche Bahn
Chancellor Angela Merkel's cabinet has approved plans to let private investors take over just under one quarter of the operations of Deutsche Bahn, one of the world's biggest rail transport groups.
The government intends to proceed with the part-privatization of the national rail company, Deutsche Bahn [DB] in November or December. DB owns rail companies outside Germany and is also a major road transport operator within Germany.
The heads of the two parties in Merkel's coalition agreed Monday on selling off a stake in the passenger and freight services, while retaining the railtracks, stations, power generation and signaling in state hands.
Estimates on the value of the 24.9-per-cent stake in passenger and freight services run to around 6 billion euros [$9.5 billion].
The issue provoked months of debate within the broad coalition government, comprising Merkel's conservative Christian CDU/CSU bloc and its traditional rival, the Social Democrats [SPD].
The SPD conceded ground in the debate, backing away from a proposal to sell the DB stake as "people's shares."
Instead, the offering is expected to go to big institutions, with some shares being sold to rail employees.
Conservatives aim to double the stake

Chancellor Merkel with Deutsche Bahn CEO Hartmut Mehdorn
The CDU/CSU hopes to later double the stake sold off to 49.9 percent, but still intends to retain the 34,000-kilometre track network in state hands.
DB, which has 237,000 employees, has reached a pre-privatization accord with unions ruling out layoffs for the next 15 years.
Berlin says two thirds of the money raised in the flotation will be channeled back into modernizing the tracks, shabby stations and building sound-barriers to cut acoustic pollution next to tracks.
Details are to be set out in a future contract with DB.
Part of the remaining one third will end up in the general federal budget or be used to increase DB's general funds.













